• August 4, 2024

Crowdfunding Vs. The Stock Market

 

As we discussed last time, the private (off-stock market) investing markets have been an incredibly powerful wealth generation engine for the rich for generations.

 

And they were strictly off limits for regular people.

 

But the 2012 JOBS Act paved the way for change, and it is now possible for middle class Americans to get a piece of the same kinds of deals that have helped the rich get richer— and that you can’t typically find on the stock market.

 

This new type of investing has a number of nicknames.

 

“Regulated Investment Crowdfunding”…

 

“Equity Crowdfunding”…

 

Or, just plain old “Crowdfunding” for short.

 

I prefer crowdfunding, even though that leaves out some nuance, it rolls off the tongue a little better, and is easier to remember.

 

The main thing to keep in mind is that this is not the kind of crowdfunding you’ll see on Kickstarter or GoFundMe. Those platforms focus on retailers looking for pre-orders of their products, or sometimes folks looking for donations to help them deal with a financial crisis.

 

The kind of crowdfunding we talk about at Disruptor Nation is all about early-stage companies selling shares in their company to help them grow.

 

Or sometimes debt, or a share in future revenues.

 

Either way, we’re talking about investing.

 

Securities.

 

Stuff that’s regulated by the SEC.

 

So, the JOBS Act paved the way for crowdfunding, and crowdfunding is a newer way to invest in companies not traded on the stock market.

 

And we’re going to talk about how that works.

 

And also how it’s better in some ways than investing on the market, but also how it has its own unique challenges.

 

Nothing is perfect.

 

Every form of investing involves risk.

 

And crowdfunding is no exception.

How Crowdfunding is Different than Stock Market Investing:

 

Stock Market Investing

 

Public markets offer accessibility, transparency, and liquidity. Investors buy shares of public companies through a regulated marketplace, with prices determined by market demand.

 

Liquidity

 

Public company shares can be bought and sold any time their market has trading hours, meaning it’s a “liquid” market.

 

Now, that doesn’t mean you’ll get the price you want.

 

All liquidity is not created equal.

 

How many shares a company trades each day determines how hard it may be to unwind a particular investment.

 

A company with a small “Bid/Ask Spread” will get you a lot closer to the offered price than a company with a large Bid/Ask.

 

It can also affect how long your order takes to fill, or IF it will fill.

 

But ultimately, you should be able to get out of a given position within a reasonable period of time.

 

Meanwhile, with crowdfunding, shares are generally not liquid (although there are some exceptions we will get into in a future post).

 

These are longer-term investments, often requiring years before you might see a payday.

 

And that assumes that the company doesn’t go out of business in the meantime.

 

When you do get to an exit point with a private company, this will typically take the form of an acquisition, or a public offering.

 

We told you last time that a company’s IPO is usually a payday for its earliest backers.

 

When that happens and you’re a crowdfunding investor, YOU get to be one of those sellers!

 

Returns

 

From a return standpoint, one less exciting feature of investing through the stock market is that, with a few exceptions, many of the companies available for investment on the stock market are later-stage, larger companies.

 

And that means, most of the time, you’re going to be looking at smaller annual growth rates for investing in these companies than you might get putting your money into something earlier stage.

 

While these companies are not likely to go out of business, they also might not make you a whole lot of money.

 

And to reduce risk, many folks invest in funds that hold positions in a number of these companies, but this also cuts their return chances further.

 

Now, there are also lots of earlier stage companies traded on the stock market as well.

 

And those companies theoretically should have lots of upside relative to the larger ones.

 

That said, it’s absolutely critical to realize that most small companies—whether they are on the stock market or still at the private stage—carry very large amounts of risk.

 

Many early-stage companies fail, and when they do, the folks who invested in them typically lose everything they put in.

 

But if you’re going to invest in smaller companies, why not just do it through the stock market, and at least keep some liquidity?

 

Short Sellers

 

For one thing, these “penny stocks” are not only much riskier than larger companies because they’re more likely to fail, but also because they are frequently targeted by “short sellers”.

 

Short sellers believe that a given company is a bad investment, and its price is going to fall.

 

And since a free market needs both buyers AND sellers, short sellers are allowed to bet against a company’s shares.

 

We don’t need to get into the technical details of how that works. The important takeaway is that the end result of short seller activity is that it puts downward pressure on a company’s share price, for no good reason other than the fact that “the shorts” are selling the shares.

 

While short sellers do serve a useful market function by helping identify frauds and other bad actors, there is nothing stopping them from targeting good companies as well.

 

And many short sellers are essentially market bullies.

 

They tend to stay away from bigger companies, who have big investors with billions of dollars in cash behind them, because they can defend themselves.

 

But guess who doesn’t have these kinds of resources to back them up?

 

Smaller earlier-stage companies.

 

As a result, even if you happen to find a small company on the stock market that has great potential, you can often still lose money because they just happen to get “targeted by the shorts.”

 

This form of legal market manipulation is a major risk for investing in the small, publicly traded companies that compare best to private deals.

 

But shorts are a problem that private deals don’t have.

 

Because the company’s shares essentially don’t trade, it’s impossible for short sellers to bully them.

Market Risk

 

Another important risk that doesn’t come up too often, but when it does can be a real doozie, is market risk.

 

The stock market has been on a bull run for a few decades now more or less, with the Dow rising an average 9.7% per year for the past decade, the S&P rising 12.2% per year over the same period, and the NASDAQ up 17.7% per year, all before adjusting for inflation.1

 

But a LOT of that growth can be laid at the feet of the titans of the stock market. In recent years, that’s been the Magnificent 7 (or Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Tesla and Nvidia). Last year, those seven companies alone accounted for over half of the S&P 500’s total return.2

 

The old expression goes that a rising tide lifts all boats.

 

And that’s true, up to a point.

 

In 2024, two-thirds of S&P-listed companies saw some kind of positive return.3

 

Even if we treat all companies on the S&P as if they were the same size, which controls for rocket ship companies like NVIDIA dominating the index’s performance, the average S&P company was still up 10.9% last year, compared to the index’s overall 23.3% gain.4

 

Some of those gains are related to a positive overall market effect. Even if your company isn’t the best investment, when the market does well, you can still do well.

 

That’s the opposite of market risk.

 

But the market can’t always do well.

 

And when it’s been doing as well as it has for as long as it has…

 

And when the gains in the market are much better than the gains in the economy the stock market is supposed to be a reflection of

 

Market risk tends to become a lot more important.

 

Because sooner or later, reality always catches up.

 

And when that happens, the market will need to fall, to line up more closely with the reality of the economy.

 

And when that happens, just like bad companies benefit from a booming stock market, good companies can be unfairly punished by a falling market.

 

That’s market risk.

 

And when you buy a company on the stock market, it’s part of the deal.

 

But when you invest through a private deal, it isn’t.

 

Because private deal shares don’t trade.

 

So if the market tanks, the shares don’t fall, and you lose nothing.

 

Of course, you still need to worry about economic risk. If the economy gets so bad that your investment goes out of business, there’s no protection from that.

 

But with private deals, the stock market can’t make you to lose a single dime.

 

As long as your company stays in business, your investment is worth exactly what you put into it, at least until the company comes back to investors to raise money again and the value gets reassessed.

 

Fees and Expenses

 

Last but not least, being a publicly traded company is EXPENSIVE.

 

There’s a lot of financial reporting, listing requirements and other rules to follow, with lawyers and accountants to pay at every step.

 

Total annual costs to be a publicly traded company can run from around $150,000 to more than $2.5 million per year, with the lower end of that range not including fees for an investor relations firm to help fight off those short sellers.5

 

And a lot of smaller public companies—with the most upside potential—are often not very well-positioned to absorb those costs.

 

But they have to pay them, every year, which cuts large chunks out of what could have been profits for the company.

 

Moreover, none of any of the above factors in the hundreds and hundreds of man-hours eaten up by company execs working to fulfill those obligations.

 

Most of those companies should have stayed private.

 

But they wanted to raise money, in order to grow.

 

If only there was another way for them to do that…6

 

Fortunately, there is!

 

And we’ll dive into all of the ins and outs for investors next time!

 

Sean Levine

Managing Editor

Disruptor Nation

 

1 https://www.macrotrends.net/2622/dow-jones-by-year-historical-annual-returns

https://www.macrotrends.net/2526/sp-500-historical-annual-returns

https://www.macrotrends.net/2623/nasdaq-by-year-historical-annual-returns

2 https://www.ftportfolios.com/Commentary/EconomicResearch/2025/1/8/the-sp-500-index-in-2024-a-market-driven-once-again-by-the-mag-7?utm_source=chatgpt.com

3 https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-20-stocks-in-the-s-p-500-rose-the-most-in-2024-af73386c?utm_source=chatgpt.com

4 https://www.macrotrends.net/2526/sp-500-historical-annual-returns

https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/indices/equity/sp-500-equal-weight-index/#overview

5 https://microcapclub.com/the-true-costs-of-being-public-are-less-than-you-think/?utm_source=chatgpt.com

https://www.cfo.com/news/the-true-costs-of-being-public-more-than-you-think/667737/?utm_source=chatgpt.com

6 Companies running private/crowdfunding deals do have costs as well, running anywhere from the tens to even hundreds of thousands of dollars. But at least for private issuers, those are typically one-time costs, and the reporting requirements are much less onerous as well.